Article Reviews, Trading, Value Investing

Inflation Adjusted DJIA and Secular Stock Market Cycles

I was looking for websites that show inflation adjusted U.S. stock indices, and came across this one that supposedly updates once a quarter (link here[if anyone knows of such a website that updates frequently, do let me know!].

This one showed a comparison of the inflation-adjusted DJIA starting from year 2000 with the secular bear market of 1964-1984. It is similar to the chart shown in Martin Pring’s Investing in the Second Lost Decade. Basically the chart is “predicting” that are we scheduled for a market downturn lasting until 2017-2018.  The current situation has “defied gravity’ for the moment but usually history is a decent predictor at least for secular stock market cycles.

We will have to see how long this exuberance lasts, and ride the wave while the wave is available.



3 thoughts on “Inflation Adjusted DJIA and Secular Stock Market Cycles

  1. try the website… monthly update of secular market charts

    Posted by Jose Rodriguez | February 2, 2013, 3:38 am
    • Thanks Jose for the great link! The website has a lot of good charts and statistics.
      It would be good if there is some ability to “zoom in” on the charts, most of the charts go quite far back historically, e.g. the secular market chart starts from ~1870, so the recent history gets somewhat “squashed”.

      Posted by whatheheckaboom | February 6, 2013, 3:38 am
  2. no problem. i have searched the internet for information on secular markets but there is really not much out there… but on the flip side Jim Rogers speaks about the commodity supercycles every so often and in his books which are the inverse to equity secular bears… look forward to the piece you put together…

    Posted by Jose Rodriguez | February 6, 2013, 4:46 am

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